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By pk11
via ibm.com
Published: Jun 04 2008 / 09:48

With the recent reports of Java™'s imminent demise, you're probably wondering if it's time to leave the platform behind for greener pastures. Before you make a decision, step back and examine the Java ecosystem, along with that of its competitors, to see if the rumors have any substance. It's time, in other words, to have a State of the Java Union address, holding neither pride nor prejudice in the evaluation of the platform.
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cbang replied ago:

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A slightly more philosophical follow up to his preview post: http://blogs.tedneward.com/2008/01/15/Java+QuotDonequot+Like+The+Patriots+Or+QuotDonequot+Like+The+Dolphins.aspx

Basically a dive into Java's "Cockroach status" as humorously described by Don Box. Although probably not going to happen (with Steve Ballmer at the rudder anyway) it would be an interesting thought experiment to imagine what would happen to Java if .NET was open sourced, it would practically render most of the arguments for Java useless. In short, open source appears to be a feature by itself.

I do feel Ted neglects to extrapolate where it will lead Java in 3-5 years, there is no clear vision and no architect to steer it. And from the look of things, java 7 is already too late (no language JSR exists, yet Java 7 is suppose to be released in 12 months. Compare that to the Java 6 JSR which took 22 months and did not even have any language changes at all).

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