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By lowellheddings
via pbs.org
Published: Jan 22 2007 / 05:32
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By lowellheddings
via pbs.org
Published: Jan 22 2007 / 05:32
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Lowell Heddings replied ago:
This isn't exactly development related, but seemed interesting enough to link to anyway.
pcx99 replied ago:
Simply put, web 3.0 will be video on demand, not 1megabit goo-tube videos but high-def channels using a minimum of 8 megabits per stream. That's where the web is heading and that's why the net-neutrality debate is being fought: it's not a fight over website's bandwidth, it's a fight over who is going to serve your ip-tv. The telcos and cable cos want that piece of the pie and want to price google out of the market. The movie studios saw what itunes did to the music industry and are terrified of google dictating pricing to them the way apple dictates to the riaa.
But google has the grassroots thing going on network neutrality and a democrat congress pandering to grassroots movements in a bid for the 2008 whitehouse, and google has the web 2.0 video brands tucked under its belt and the fibre network to make it all happen. And that whole studios making their own youtube thing kinda all fell apart (which is good because it avoids a nasty anti-trust skirmish). Meanwhile MS is preoccupied with vista and both MS and Yahoo are going to be busy looking at their navels reorganizing in an attempt to get rid of inefficiencies which are dragging both of them down. So you pretty much have to think this is all going Google's way.
2007 is all about positioning. In 2008 The telcos and cable cos will have deployed enough fiber to realistically pump ~20-40 megabites into the home and when that happens, IP-TV will be a reality.
Grab the popcorn, it's going to be fun to watch.
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